Oscars 2023: Best Supporting Actor Predictions

Some contenders for the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor benefit from being able to avoid too close comparisons with others.

We’ll be updating all of our Oscar predictions throughout the season, so keep checking IndieWire for the latest news on the 2023 Oscar race. official Oscars being announced on January 24, 2023. Final voting will take place between March 2 and March 7, 2023. Finally, the 95th Oscars TV show will air. on Sunday, March 12 and airs live on ABC at 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT.

See our first thoughts on what to expect at the 95th Academy Awards here.

The state of the race

As late fall approaches, there are two film contenders festival-goers have already seen who needed to clarify whether they’ll be campaigning for Best Supporting Actor: ‘The Banshees of Inisherin’ star Brendan Gleeson and “The Good Nurse” star Eddie Redmayne.

The two now being officially in the mix changes the direction of how the final nominations will play out. Gleeson brings grace to such an unchanging character, with seemingly abrupt reasons for cutting contact with his friend played by Colin Farrell (an “In Bruges” reunion). The twisted yet tender standout role was enough to earn him a plum spot hosting “Saturday Night Live” recently, a gig that recent Oscar winners like Daniel Kaluuya and Ariana DeBose also had in the as part of their rewards campaign. Being able to make the trip alongside longtime friends Farrell and writer-director Martin McDonagh will also help, in a rising tide that lifts all of the boat’s senses. Even Barry Keoghan can play his role in the film, which has an arc that ranges from brash to heartbreaking, similar to how Woody Harrelson earned a nomination alongside eventual winner Sam Rockwell for McDonagh’s latest film “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, “A movie audience was much more mixed than this movie.

Redmayne, the titular character of the Netflix medical thriller, plays a far less esteemed character than the one audiences are used to seeing play, which makes for an interesting viewing experience. Although “The Good Nurse” is less polished than the standard awards, the Oscar-winning actor nails the duality of his character, which is based on a real, infamous person. Since it’s the true crime genre, the film is likely to catch fire when it hits Netflix, which means Redmayne’s work may generate more conversation among the general public, making it a movie . Oscar voters feel compelled to move up their watch lists.

Although they are in very different films, “Everything Everywhere All at Once” star Ke Huy Quan and “Women Talking” star Ben Whishaw support actors who give aid to women who are respectively the first for the Best Actress and Best Supporting Actress, while still getting their own poignant moment to shine. Their roles are a welcome relief from the rest of the suitor crowd, mostly films where the writer-director re-enacts moments from their childhoods that ponder class, race and sanity.

Although “The Fabelmans” is currently a favorite for Best Picture and its sets will blow some voters away, it remains to be seen whether veteran actor Judd Hirsch can be nominated for starring in just one scene, although that very memorable. Since James Gray’s “Armageddon Time” and Sam Mendes’ “Empire of Light” explore similar topics, the Best Supporting Actor conversation between the three films becomes its own awards race. Hirsch’s great-uncle character is better presented than Anthony Hopkins’ grandfather role in “Armageddon Time,” but Jeremy Strong’s role as a conflicted father in the latter film is more complex than the role of father of Paul Dano in “The Fabelmans”. Michael Ward is the only young actor in all three movies to really have a shot at an Oscar nomination, and it’s mainly because he plays Oscar nominee Olivia Colman’s love interest in “Empire of Light” ( however, the film itself has the most lukewarm reviews of the bunch).

Woody Harrelson (“Triangle of Sadness”), Mark Rylance (“Bones and All”) and Brian Tyree Henry (“Causeway”) all give good reliable performances, but they might not be able to pull off the same thrust than those of movies with a real shot at Best Picture. If Brad Pitt plays a big enough role in Damien Chazelle’s latest Hollywood show “Babylon,” the recent Oscar winner has the best chance of shaking up this year’s Best Supporting Actor race, but it will take some time. ahead of the Paramount Christmas release screens.

Pioneers:
Brendan Gleeson (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
Barry Keoghan (“The Banshees of Inisherin”)
Ke Huy Quan (“Everything Everywhere At Once”)
Eddie Redmayne (“The Good Nurse”)
Ben Whishaw (“Women Who Talk”)

Competitors:
Paul Dano (“The Fabelmans”)
Woody Harrelson (“Triangle of Sadness”)
Brian Tyree Henry (“Casway”)
Judd Hirsch (“The Fabelmans”)
Anthony Hopkins (“Armageddon Hour”)
Brad Pitt (“Babylon”)
Mark Rylance (“Bones and All”)
Jeremy Strong (“Armageddon Hour”)
Michael Ward (“Empire of Light”)

Long shots:
Don Cheadle (“White Noise”)
Ralph Fiennes (“The Menu”)
Tom Hanks (“Elvis”)
Toby Jones (“Empire of Light”)
Tobey Maguire (“Babylon”)
Harry Melling (“The Pale Blue Eye”)
Glen Powell (“Devotion”)
Seth Rogen (“The Fabelmans”)
Miles Teller (“Top Gun: Maverick”)
Stanley Tucci (“I want to dance with someone”)

Source: https://www.indiewire.com/2022/10/2023-oscars-best-supporting-actor-predictions-1234749446/